India: BF-rebar trade prices edge down w-o-w amid subdued demand
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- IF-rebar prices show mixed trend
- Raw material prices remain range-bound w-o-w
Trade-level blast furnace (BF) rebar prices fell w-o-w owing to subdued domestic demand across markets. Buyers have moved to the sidelines and adopted a wait-and-watch approach due to continuous drop in prices and weak market sentiments. This has marked the seventh consecutive week of decline in prices.
Trade-level BF rebar prices edged down by INR 100/t ($1/t) w-o-w to INR 52,300/t ($612/t) exy-Mumbai, as per BigMint's assessment on 27 December 2024. Prices are exclusive of GST at 18%.
In the project segment, prices fell w-o-w to around INR 49,500-50,500/t ($579-590/t) FOR Mumbai amid limited buying interest.
Factors behind market dynamics
1. IF-rebar prices exhibit mixed trends: IF-rebar prices showed mixed trends on a weekly basis owing to need-based buying, which weighed on market sentiments. Manufacturers kept their list prices unchanged, while offering discounts to liquidate their inventories. Inventory idling time was at around 10-12 days across markets. Prices of raw material and semi-finished steel witnessed a mixed trend during the week. IF-rebar trade prices remained stable w-o-w at INR 47,300/t ($553/t) exw-Mumbai as on 27 December.
The price gap for BF-IF rebars stood at around INR 5,000/t ($58/t) in Mumbai. Notably, IF rebars enjoy a 65-70% share of the market.
2. Raw material prices range-bound w-o-w: BigMint's weekly Odisha iron ore fines Fe62% prices edged lower by INR 50/t ($0.6/t) w-o-w to INR 5,300/t ($62/t) ex-mines on 21 December. Iron ore prices showed mixed trend following the recent OMC auction, with the weighted average bids for fines dropping, while lump prices experienced a slight increase compared to last month's bids.
Australian premium hard coking coal (PHCC) prices edged up by $1/t w-o-w to $218/t CNF Paradip.
Outlook
Market participants have adopted a wait-and-watch approach due to price volatility, awaiting clarity on mill list prices for the next month.